Wednesday, April 1, 2020

US fighting against COVID19 with informed decision

MEL always talked and advocate about informed decision. Most of time this did not happen locally as well as in projects. Many developing or under developed country like Nepal, the informed decision making in policy decision is barely practiced.

Whole world is fighting against COVID19. Now US is in epicenter of Corona virus. Nobody knows what will happened tomorrow. Efforts of every nations are going on in "Hit and trail" method. Many countries are fighting with their gut power. Many countries are in locked down.

US is fighting with informed decision and this is praiseworthy. President Donal trump has announced the death projection of his own country men/women that will be around 100,000 to 240,000 (as of March 31, 2020) based on the statistical model prepared by the experts. I wonder what if this figure was announced here in Nepal by the Government of Nepal. I am sure it will total chaos here. Further, Nepal Government and bureaucrats never accept the statistical model. They will remain under own safe job logic and throw the model in the trash bin. So, I really appreciate/ salute President Donal Trump and Americans accepting the evidence.

The following Graph is from https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections . This graph has projected the cumulative death toll with upper and lower limit estimation till August from COVID19 in US. The website has also presented other important data that facilitate the decision maker and medics to make decision and act.


I wish lower boundary be correct though I strongly wish lower boundary should be very very lower and fail this projection.

Lets see, the ruthless power of data.